Time/Space
Considerations in Violent Crime Research
Lemiux and Felson approach the study of violent crime victimization
from the perspective of time spent per person per activity, including
location. Their research complements location based, or “hot spot”
studies; they contend that “no national study has yet collected
sufficient lifestyle detail to meet the challenge offered by
lifestyle and routine activity theories.” ( Lemiux and Felson,
2012, p. 637). One question they present addresses the function of
studying rates by population as opposed to opportunity structures.
Issues such as population transiency and the proportion of the
population that spends time in relatively dangerous areas are ignored
in population-based study. Lemiux and Felson make the counter-point
that “people spend very unequal amounts of time in different
activities, thus distorting estimates of how much risk one activity
generates compared to another.” (2012, p. 638)
Their
methodology meets this issue by defining the person-hour
as “a useful measure for
determining
how much time individuals or a population spends in a specific place
or activity.” (Lemiux and Felson, 2012, p. 638) Time adjustment
measurements can present a different perspective then can tally
counts and population-based rates. To quantify the person-hour,
data was drawn from both American Time Use Survey (ATUS) and and the
National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) ; in part because “both
use a stratified, multistage sampling strategy and weight estimates
to the
national level” (Lemiux and Felson, 2012, p. 639) Some data
reconciliation was performed; NCVS data that included the activities
of Americans living outside the USA was removed to adjust to ATUS ,
and series offenses were likewise removed. The researchers reported
their data as follows:
We report rates as the number
of violent victimizations per 10 million person-hours. These rates
can be used to (a) determine which activity is the most dangerous
hour for
hour, (b) compare the relative
danger of one activity to another, (c) make comparisons
among demographic groups, and
(d) make future international and longitudinal compari-
sons as time use and victim
surveys continue to develop.
(Lemiux and Felson, 2012, p.
639)
The
results of the study show different results then risk assessments
based on incident-based reporting. Some activities become much
riskier when adjusted for time; the risk for victimization based on
incident counting is the lowest for transit to and from school, and
yet when adjusted for person-hours,
becomes
the riskiest activity an American can take part in. In contrast,
participating in “Other activities at home” presents the second
highest amount of risk when basing the assessment on incident
reporting and conversely the second least risky activity when
adjusted for time spent. There is not an inverse correlation to risk
levels when adjusting for time spent in activity. For example,
sleeping is the second least risky activity in incident based
counting, and moves to the least riskiest activity when adjusted for
time. “Overall, it is evident that time adjustment provides
different results and offers a unique way to estimate the risk of
violence linked to particular categories of activity” (Lemiux and
Felson, 2012, p. 646)
The methodology used allowed Lemiux and Felson to respond to the
issues they raised. By adjusting for the time spent in activity
located either in “hot spots”, or outside of relatively safer and
controlled environments (such as in transit between
locales/activities), they were able to asses the risk of
victimization by activity. This also allowed comparisons of risk by
activity and by demographics.
One interesting facet of the research revealed the higher risk
involved in transit from activity to activity when adjusted for time.
On a scale of 1 to 10, from least risky to most risky activity, the
“To, from school” activity rated as the most risky activity with
a score of 9. The second most risky activity was “To, from work”
with a score of 8. As Lemiux and Felson chose data based upon it's
weight to the national scale, then the medium sized city of Austin,
Texas shares with the nation the highest risk of victimization during
transit between activities.
Lemiux and Felson discuss the efforts made to recognize the
victimization of school attendees during transit, and suggest further
study of victimization based on different types of commute, such as
public transportation versus privately owned vehicle. One policy
recommendation resulting from their study would be the removing of
restrictions on citizens for carrying weapons of self-defense and
better training for dealing with self-defense situations.
Unfortunately, the vast area that would need to be covered by the
preventive patrolling of commuter transit would be a strain on law
enforcement resources, except in the area of public transit.
Finally, Lemiux and Felson stress that time-adjusted risk assessment
is not the only factor worth discussing, but they do contend “that
the person-hour gives us a more precise way to think about and
measure exposure to risk of violence, based on the time people
spend in various activities or locations”(2012, p.650)
References
Lemieux, A. M., & Felson, M.
(2012). Risk of violent crime victimization during major daily
activities. Violence and Victims, 27(5), 635–655.
Retrieved July 19, 2014 from
http://search.proquest.com.southuniversity.libproxy.edmc.edu/docview/1081338409?pq-origsite=summon
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